Japan's producer price in November increased by 0.3% month-on-month, and it is estimated to increase by 0.2%. Japan's producer price in November increased by 3.7% year-on-year, and it is estimated to increase by 3.4%.Huatai Securities: The policy overweight boosts consumption and is optimistic about the four main lines. Huatai Securities Research Report said that with the continuous efforts of promoting consumption policies, the large consumer sector ushered in the configuration window period and continued to be optimistic about the basic orientation and valuation repair of the consumer sector. It is suggested to pay attention to four main investment lines: 1) the rise of domestic products: the strength and brand power of domestic products in beauty care, home appliances, pets, textiles and clothing are constantly improving, occupying consumers' minds against the trend, and domestic products continue to lead; 2) Emotional consumption: the products on the supply side are continuously iterated, and the goods/services are built as a medium to convey emotional value, and the consumption on the demand side is superimposed to promote the continuous expansion of the tide play /IP economy; 3) New cost performance: The consumption concept of residents is becoming more and more rational, and the quality-price ratio has become the core of consumption decision-making. The new cost performance consumption focusing on "good but not expensive" is expected to continue to grow rapidly; 4) Consumption going to sea: Going to sea has become a necessary topic for consumer enterprises. Under the two-way catalysis of supply and demand, China enterprises are actively participating in global market competition and paying attention to brand/culture/service going to sea.Shenzhen Holdings: Auditor replacement: PricewaterhouseCoopers resigned and Ernst & Young took over. On December 10th, Shenzhen Holdings (00604.HK) announced that according to Rule 13.51(4) of the Rules Governing the Listing of Securities on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, PricewaterhouseCoopers agreed to resign as the auditor of Shenzhen Holdings with effect from December 10th, 2024. At the same time, the board of directors of Shenzhen Holdings decided to appoint Ernst & Young as the new auditor of the company, which will also take effect from December 10, 2024 until the end of the next annual general meeting.
Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.SpaceX is valued at about $350 billion due to internal stock sales. According to an email sent to employees seen by the media, SpaceX and its investors have agreed to acquire the company's common stock of up to $1.25 billion at a price of $185 per share. This transaction values the rocket and satellite manufacturer owned by elon musk at about $350 billion. The memo said that the price of $185 per share was much higher than the valuation of $112 less than three months ago. The memorandum was further confirmed by insiders. According to the memo, only SpaceX offered to buy up to $500 million in common stock.Analyst: There may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year. Tan Yiming, chief fixed income analyst of Minsheng Securities, said that there may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year, considering the supply pressure of government bonds, the restoration of credit supply and the provision of long-term stable low-cost funds for financial institutions.
The negotiation between Myriad and United Health Insurance may be extended to the beginning of 2025, and the negotiation between Myriad Genetics and UnitedHealthcare on the genetic test of Myriad may continue until the beginning of 2025. Myriad reiterated its estimate of the financial impact of the United Health Insurance Company's updated medical policy in 2024.Nikkei futures opened down 95 points at 39,290 on the Singapore Stock Exchange.TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.